Most Americans haven't bet on a prediction market in the past year
Core finding
Prediction markets let people put money on the outcome of future events, but few Americans do: 83% say they have not bet on platforms like Polymarket or Kalshi at all in the past 12 months, according to a March 2026 Verasight survey of 1,000 U.S. adults.
Betting with any regularity is rare: 5% of adults wager less than once a month, 2% once a month, 3% two to three times a month, 3% once a week, 3% two to three times a week, and 1% four or more times a week.
Topline distribution
Most Americans haven't bet on a prediction market in the past year.
In the past 12 months, how often have you bet money or gambled on outcomes in a prediction market (e.g., Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt, Robinhood, Crypto.com, Rithmm)?
n = 1,000 · Mar 6–16, 2026 · MoE ±3.4%
Methodology
Full methodology →| Mode | Verasight panel recruited via random address-based sampling, random person-to-person text messaging, and dynamic online targeting |
|---|---|
| Population | US adults age 18+ |
| Field dates | Mar 6–16, 2026 |
| Base (unweighted) | 1,000 |
| Margin of error | ±3.4% |
| Module | Module 1: Technology, Finance, & Media |
| Sponsor | Verasight |
| Weight variable | weight |
| Weighting targets | age, race/ethnicity, sex, income, education, region, metropolitan status |
Sources
- reports.verasight.io/r/omnibus-2026-044
In the past 12 months, how often have you bet money or gambled on outcomes in a prediction market (e.g., Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt, Robinhood, Crypto.com, Rithmm)?
Cite this question
Verasight Client Omnibus Survey #2026-044, fielded March 6-16, 2026, N=1,000 US adults age 18+, +/- 3.4%.