# Most Americans haven't bet on a prediction market in the past year

Canonical page: https://data.verasight.io/ai/most-americans-havent-bet-on-a-prediction-market-in-the-past-year/

> Indexed question in AI & Tech.

## Reading

Prediction markets let people put money on the outcome of future events, but few Americans do: 83% say they have not bet on platforms like Polymarket or Kalshi at all in the past 12 months, according to a March 2026 Verasight survey of 1,000 U.S. adults.

Betting with any regularity is rare: 5% of adults wager less than once a month, 2% once a month, 3% two to three times a month, 3% once a week, 3% two to three times a week, and 1% four or more times a week.

## Topline

In the past 12 months, how often have you bet money or gambled on outcomes in a prediction market (e.g., Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt, Robinhood, Crypto.com, Rithmm)?

Most Americans haven't bet on a prediction market in the past year.

- Not at all: 83.2%
- Less than once a month: 4.5%
- 2-3 times a month: 3.2%
- Once a week: 2.8%
- 2-3 times a week: 2.6%
- Once a month: 2.3%
- 4 or more times a week: 1.4%

## Methodology

- Mode: Verasight panel recruited via random address-based sampling, random person-to-person text messaging, and dynamic online targeting
- Population: US adults age 18+
- Field dates: 2026-03-06 → 2026-03-16
- Base (unweighted): 1,000
- Margin of error: +/- 3.4%
- Module: Module 1: Technology, Finance, & Media
- Sponsor: Verasight
- Weight variable: weight
- Weighting targets: age, race/ethnicity, sex, income, education, region, metropolitan status

## Source

- Canonical question URL: [https://reports.verasight.io/r/omnibus-2026-044#q-1-11](https://reports.verasight.io/r/omnibus-2026-044#q-1-11)

## Citation

Verasight Client Omnibus Survey #2026-044, fielded March 6-16, 2026, N=1,000 US adults age 18+, +/- 3.4%.

Canonical question URL: [https://reports.verasight.io/r/omnibus-2026-044#q-1-11](https://reports.verasight.io/r/omnibus-2026-044#q-1-11)