# Just over half of Americans would switch doors in the Monty Hall problem

Canonical page: https://data.verasight.io/culture/just-over-half-of-americans-would-switch-doors-in-the-monty-hall-problem/

> Indexed question in Culture.

## Reading

Verasight surveyed 1,000 U.S. adults from August 13 to 18, 2026. On a game show with three doors, one hiding a car, 53.6% of Americans would switch doors after the host opens one to show a goat. 46.4% would stick with their first pick.

The setup matches the Monty Hall problem. The question records what people would choose and does not test whether they know the odds.

## Topline

Would you switch?

Just over half of Americans would switch doors in the Monty Hall problem.

- Yes, I would switch: 53.6%
- No, I wouldn’t switch: 46.4%

## Methodology

- Mode: Verasight panel recruited via random address-based sampling, random person-to-person text messaging, and dynamic online targeting
- Population: US adults age 18+
- Field dates: 2026-08-13 → 2026-08-18
- Base (unweighted): 1,000
- Margin of error: +/- 3.2%
- Module: Verasight JSM and Quirk's Omnibus Survey
- Sponsor: Verasight
- Weight variable: weight
- Weighting targets: age, race/ethnicity, sex, income, education, region, metropolitan status

## Source

- Canonical question URL: [https://reports.verasight.io/r/jsm-quirks-2026#q-25](https://reports.verasight.io/r/jsm-quirks-2026#q-25)

## Citation

JSM and Quirk's Omnibus Survey, fielded August 13-18, 2026, N=1,000 US adults age 18+, +/- 3.2%.

Canonical question URL: [https://reports.verasight.io/r/jsm-quirks-2026#q-25](https://reports.verasight.io/r/jsm-quirks-2026#q-25)