Seven in ten are unlikely to see Project Hail Mary
Core finding
Project Hail Mary faces a cool reception ahead of its release: roughly seven-in-ten Americans (69%) say they are unlikely to see it, including 35% who call it highly unlikely, according to a Verasight survey conducted December 2025 into January 2026.
The other 31% expect to see it, though just 9% are highly likely.
Topline scale
Seven in ten are unlikely to see Project Hail Mary.
How likely are you to see each of these movies, scheduled to be released in 2026? Item: Project Hail Mary
n = 2,000 · Dec 22, 2025 – Jan 5, 2026 · MoE ±2.2%
Methodology
Full methodology →| Mode | Verasight panel recruited via random address-based sampling, random person-to-person text messaging, and dynamic online targeting |
|---|---|
| Population | United States adults |
| Field dates | Dec 22, 2025 – Jan 5, 2026 |
| Base (unweighted) | 2,000 |
| Margin of error | ±2.2% |
| Module | pop_culture |
| Sponsor | Verasight |
| Weight variable | weight for AI and predictions questions; weight_popculture for pop culture questions |
| Weighting targets | age, race/ethnicity, sex, income, education, region, metropolitan status |
Sources
- reports.verasight.io/r/2026-predictions
- Project Hail Mary
Cite this question
2026 Predictions Survey #2025-183, fielded December 22, 2025-January 5, 2026, N=2,000 United States adults, +/- 2.2%.