Seven in ten know the groundhog's shadow means six more weeks of winter
Core finding
Most Americans (71%) know the folklore: a groundhog that sees its shadow on February 2nd means six more weeks of winter, according to a May 2024 Verasight survey.
One-in-five (20%) instead read the shadow as a sign that spring is around the corner, while smaller shares take it to mean a warmer-than-usual winter (4%) or nothing at all (2%); another 4% do not know.
Topline distribution
Seven in ten know the groundhog's shadow means six more weeks of winter.
Each year on February 2nd, people in the U.S. take note of Ground Hog Day. According to folklore, if the groundhog sees his shadow on that morning, what is that supposed to tell us? (Please answer from your own current knowledge, without consulting external sources.)
n = 1,000 · May 22–24, 2024 · MoE ±3.3%
Methodology
Full methodology →| Mode | Verasight panel recruited via random address-based sampling, random person-to-person text messaging, and dynamic online targeting |
|---|---|
| Population | US adults age 18+ |
| Field dates | May 22–24, 2024 |
| Base (unweighted) | 1,000 |
| Margin of error | ±3.3% |
| Module | Verasight AAPOR Omnibus Survey #2024-054 |
| Sponsor | Verasight |
| Weight variable | weight |
| Weighting targets | age, race/ethnicity, sex, income, education, region, metropolitan status |
Sources
- verasight-aapor-2024.tiiny.co
Each year on February 2nd, people in the U.S. take note of Ground Hog Day. According to folklore, if the groundhog sees his shadow on that morning, what is that supposed to tell us? (Please answer from your own current knowledge, without consulting external sources.)
Cite this question
Verasight AAPOR Omnibus Survey #2024-054, fielded May 22-24, 2024, N=1,000 US adults age 18+, +/- 3.3%.