# A slim majority think Democrats will win the House in 2026

Canonical page: https://data.verasight.io/politics/a-slim-majority-think-democrats-will-win-the-house-in-2026/

> Indexed question in Politics.

## Reading

In a Verasight survey conducted December 22, 2025 to January 5, 2026, a slim majority of Americans (55%) expect Democrats to win the most seats in the U.S. House after the 2026 midterms.

The other 45% expect Republicans to come out ahead instead.

## Topline

Which party will win the most House seats after the 2026 midterms?

A slim majority think Democrats will win the House in 2026.

- Democrats: 55.1%
- Republicans: 44.9%

## Methodology

- Mode: Verasight panel recruited via random address-based sampling, random person-to-person text messaging, and dynamic online targeting
- Population: United States adults
- Field dates: 2025-12-22 → 2026-01-05
- Base (unweighted): 1,000
- Margin of error: +/- 3.1%
- Module: predictions
- Sponsor: Verasight
- Weight variable: weight for AI and predictions questions; weight_popculture for pop culture questions
- Weighting targets: age, race/ethnicity, sex, income, education, region, metropolitan status

## Source

- Canonical question URL: [https://reports.verasight.io/r/2026-predictions#party-to-win-most-seats-in-the-2026-u.s.-house-midterms](https://reports.verasight.io/r/2026-predictions#party-to-win-most-seats-in-the-2026-u.s.-house-midterms)

## Citation

2026 Predictions Survey #2025-183, fielded December 22, 2025-January 5, 2026, N=1,000 United States adults, +/- 3.1%.

Canonical question URL: [https://reports.verasight.io/r/2026-predictions#party-to-win-most-seats-in-the-2026-u.s.-house-midterms](https://reports.verasight.io/r/2026-predictions#party-to-win-most-seats-in-the-2026-u.s.-house-midterms)