# A third think a foreign country could succeed in swaying a U.S. election

Canonical page: https://data.verasight.io/politics/a-third-think-a-foreign-country-could-succeed-in-swaying-a-u-s-election/

> Indexed question in Politics.

## Reading

Asked to imagine a foreign country trying to sway a U.S. presidential election, about a third of Americans (35%) think it would likely succeed in tipping the result, including 8% who see success as very likely, according to an October 2024 Verasight survey.

The largest share (37%) considers the outcome neither likely nor unlikely, while 28% think success unlikely, including 8% who call it very unlikely.

## Topline

Imagine that a foreign country is trying to influence the result of the upcoming US presidential election. How likely do you think it is that they would succeed in tipping the election?

A third think a foreign country could succeed in swaying a U.S. election.

Net findings combine adjacent response options from the same scale.

- Neither likely nor unlikely: 37.3%
- Likely: 26.9%
- Unlikely: 20.0%
- Very likely: 8.2%
- Very unlikely: 7.7%

## Methodology

- Mode: Verasight panel recruited via random address-based sampling, random person-to-person text messaging, and dynamic online targeting
- Population: US adults age 18+
- Field dates: 2024-10-01 → 2024-10-11
- Base (unweighted): 1,000
- Margin of error: +/- 3.4%
- Module: pol
- Sponsor: Verasight
- Weight variable: weight
- Weighting targets: age, race/ethnicity, sex, income, education, region, metropolitan status

## Source

- Canonical question URL: [https://verasight-apsa-2024.tiiny.co#likelihood-of-foreign-influence-succeeding-in-tipping-election](https://verasight-apsa-2024.tiiny.co#likelihood-of-foreign-influence-succeeding-in-tipping-election)

## Citation

Verasight APSA Omnibus Survey #2024-103, fielded October 1-11, 2024, N=1,000 US adults age 18+, +/- 3.4%.

Canonical question URL: [https://verasight-apsa-2024.tiiny.co#likelihood-of-foreign-influence-succeeding-in-tipping-election](https://verasight-apsa-2024.tiiny.co#likelihood-of-foreign-influence-succeeding-in-tipping-election)