Few Americans say a $5,000 promise would make them more likely to vote Republican

Sep 16–21, 2026 · n = 1,500 · MoE ±2.6%Source report ↗

Core finding

Verasight surveyed 1,500 U.S. adults from September 16 to 21, 2026. 15.3% say the $5,000 promise described to them would make them more likely to vote Republican; 52.1% say it would make no difference and 32.6% say less likely.

Respondents read a statement attributing a payment promise to Trump if Republicans kept the House and Senate. The promise described has not been independently verified for this article; the results measure reactions to that premise, not an actual payment program.

Topline distribution

Few Americans say a $5,000 promise would make them more likely to vote Republican.

Does this promise make you more or less likely to vote for a Republican in the midterm elections?

No change
52.1%
Less likely
32.6%
More likely
15.3%

n = 1,500 · Sep 16–21, 2026 · MoE ±2.6%

ModeVerasight panel recruited via random address-based sampling, random person-to-person text messaging, and dynamic online targeting
PopulationUS adults age 18+
Field datesSep 16–21, 2026
Base (unweighted)1,500
Margin of error±2.6%
ModuleCurrent Events Survey #2026-243
SponsorVerasight
Weight variableweight
Weighting targetsage, race/ethnicity, sex, income, education, region, metropolitan status

Sources

  1. 01

    Does this promise make you more or less likely to vote for a Republican in the midterm elections?

    reports.verasight.io/r/2026-243-current-events-report

In the news

Cite this question

September Verasight National Survey: Current Events and Prediction Markets, fielded September 16-21, 2026, N=1,500 US adults age 18+, +/- 2.6%.