# Half think Republicans will win the most Senate seats in 2026

Canonical page: https://data.verasight.io/politics/half-think-republicans-will-win-the-most-senate-seats-in-2026/

> Indexed question in Politics.

## Reading

Just over half of Americans (51%) think Republicans will win the most Senate seats in the 2026 midterms, compared with 42% who expect Democrats to come out ahead, according to a September 2025 Verasight survey.

Relatively few (7%) think some other party will win the most.

## Topline

Thinking about the upcoming 2026 midterm elections, which party do you think will win the most seats in the US Senate?

Half think Republicans will win the most Senate seats in 2026.

- Republicans: 50.8%
- Democrats: 42.3%
- Some other party: 7.0%

## Methodology

- Mode: Verasight panel recruited via random address-based sampling, random person-to-person text messaging, and dynamic online targeting
- Population: US adults age 18+
- Field dates: 2025-09-22 → 2025-09-29
- Base (unweighted): 1,000
- Margin of error: +/- 3.3%
- Module: Verasight APSA Omnibus Survey #2025-119
- Sponsor: Verasight
- Weight variable: weight
- Weighting targets: age, race/ethnicity, sex, income, education, region, metropolitan status

## Source

- Canonical question URL: [https://reports.verasight.io/r/apsa-2025#predicted-2026-midterm-senate-seat-winners-by-party](https://reports.verasight.io/r/apsa-2025#predicted-2026-midterm-senate-seat-winners-by-party)

## Citation

Verasight APSA Omnibus Survey #2025-119, fielded September 22-29, 2025, N=1,000 US adults age 18+, +/- 3.3%.

Canonical question URL: [https://reports.verasight.io/r/apsa-2025#predicted-2026-midterm-senate-seat-winners-by-party](https://reports.verasight.io/r/apsa-2025#predicted-2026-midterm-senate-seat-winners-by-party)