Report · Politics

Most Americans aren't confident the 2020 election was stolen for Biden

Reading

In a Verasight survey of 494 U.S. adults conducted July 14 to 24, 2025, most Americans aren't confident the 2020 election was stolen for Biden; 46% selected not at all confident.

The next-largest shares were 17% for extremely confident and 17% for moderately confident.

Topline

response scale

Topline scale

Most Americans aren't confident the 2020 election was stolen for Biden (46%).

Please indicate how confident you are that the election was unfairly awarded to Joseph Biden.

  • 1. Not at all confident 45.8%
  • 5. Extremely confident 16.8%
  • 3. Moderately confident 16.8%
  • 2. Slightly confident 13.6%
  • 4. Very confident 7.0%

2025 · base n 494 · +/- 4.4%

EPOVB Conference Omnibus Survey #2025-059

View source

Methodology

Full methodology
Mode
Verasight panel recruited via random address-based sampling, random person-to-person text messaging, and dynamic online targeting
Field dates
2025-07-14 → 2025-07-24
Base (unweighted)
494
Margin of error
+/- 4.4%
Module
EPOVB Conference Omnibus Survey #2025-059

Source

Citation

EPOVB Conference Omnibus Survey #2025-059, fielded July 14-24, 2025, N=494 US adults age 18+, +/- 4.4%.

https://reports.verasight.io/reports/epovb-conference-omnibus-survey-2025-059#please-indicate-how-confident-you-are-that-the-election-was-unfairly-awarded-to-joseph-biden

Verasight survey methodology

How Verasight conducts surveys.

This page describes the Verasight general survey contract, separate from how the Data Library packages it. Each wave's specific field dates, sample sizes, and module breakdown are listed in that wave's report.

Mode
Verasight panel recruited via random address-based sampling, random person-to-person text messaging, and dynamic online targeting.
Population
US adults age 18+.
Sample design
Surveys are run as omnibus or single-topic waves. Omnibus waves are split into modules with their own respondent set, typically around one thousand respondents per module.
Field window
Each wave specifies its own field dates. Most omnibus waves field across roughly two weeks.
Weighting
Per-module weighting to CPS targets including age, race and ethnicity, sex, income, education, region, and metropolitan status.
Partisanship benchmark
Pew Research Center's NPORS benchmarking surveys, three-year running average.
Vote benchmark
2024 presidential vote population benchmarks.
Margin of error
Typically about plus or minus 3.4 to 3.6 percent per module at standard module sizes. Question-level MoE is recomputed when a base shrinks materially below the module baseline.
Reporting
Every wave is published as a standalone report at verasight.io/reports with full instrument and methodology.
Transparency
Verasight is a member of the American Association for Public Opinion Research Transparency Initiative.

Wave-specific methodology, full weighting variable lists, and verbatim instrument text live in each report at verasight.io/reports.