Nearly half of Americans say another civil war is unlikely within ten years
Core finding
In a Verasight survey of 1,000 U.S. adults conducted July 14 to 24, 2025, 48% of Americans said the United States is unlikely to experience another civil war within the next ten years. This includes 23% who said extremely unlikely, 16% who said moderately unlikely, and 9% who said slightly unlikely.
About a third said another civil war is at least slightly likely (35%), with 7% who said extremely likely, 7% who said moderately likely, and 20% who said slightly likely. Another 18% were neutral.
Topline scale
48% of Americans say another civil war within ten years is unlikely.
How likely do you think it is that the United States will experience another civil war within the next ten years?
n = 1,000 · Jul 14–24, 2025 · MoE ±3.1%
Methodology
Full methodology →| Mode | Verasight panel recruited via random address-based sampling, random person-to-person text messaging, and dynamic online targeting |
|---|---|
| Population | US adults age 18+ |
| Field dates | Jul 14–24, 2025 |
| Base (unweighted) | 1,000 |
| Margin of error | ±3.1% |
| Module | EPOVB Conference Omnibus Survey #2025-059 |
| Sponsor | Verasight |
| Weight variable | weight |
| Weighting targets | age, race/ethnicity, sex, income, education, region, metropolitan status |
Sources
- verasight-epovb.tiiny.co
How likely do you think it is that the United States will experience another civil war within the next ten years?
Cite this question
EPOVB Conference Omnibus Survey #2025-059, fielded July 14-24, 2025, N=1,000 US adults age 18+, +/- 3.1%.