Report · Politics

A slim majority of Americans oppose letting states secede if compromise fails

Reading

In a Verasight survey of 1,000 U.S. adults conducted July 14 to 24, 2025, 51% of Americans opposed allowing some states to secede from the United States if political compromise fails. This includes 29% who strongly oppose, 16% who oppose, and 7% who slightly oppose.

About a quarter supported the idea (25%), with 12% who slightly support, 6% who support, and 7% who strongly support. Another 24% were neutral.

Topline

response scale

Topline scale

51% of Americans oppose state secession if political compromise fails.

The following idea? If political compromise fails, some states should be allowed to secede from the United States.

  • Strongly oppose 28.5%
  • Neither support nor oppose 24.0%
  • Oppose 16.0%
  • Slightly support 11.6%
  • Slightly oppose 6.8%
  • Strongly support 6.7%
  • Support 6.4%

2025 · base n 1,000 · +/- 3.1%

EPOVB Conference Omnibus Survey #2025-059

View source

Methodology

Full methodology
Mode
Verasight panel recruited via random address-based sampling, random person-to-person text messaging, and dynamic online targeting
Field dates
2025-07-14 → 2025-07-24
Base (unweighted)
1,000
Margin of error
+/- 3.1%
Module
EPOVB Conference Omnibus Survey #2025-059

Source

Citation

EPOVB Conference Omnibus Survey #2025-059, fielded July 14-24, 2025, N=1,000 US adults age 18+, +/- 3.1%.

https://reports.verasight.io/reports/epovb-conference-omnibus-survey-2025-059#how-much-do-you-support-or-oppose-the-following-idea-if-political-compromise-fails-some-states-should-be-allowed-to-secede-from-the-united-states

Verasight survey methodology

How Verasight conducts surveys.

This page describes the Verasight general survey contract, separate from how the Data Library packages it. Each wave's specific field dates, sample sizes, and module breakdown are listed in that wave's report.

Mode
Verasight panel recruited via random address-based sampling, random person-to-person text messaging, and dynamic online targeting.
Population
US adults age 18+.
Sample design
Surveys are run as omnibus or single-topic waves. Omnibus waves are split into modules with their own respondent set, typically around one thousand respondents per module.
Field window
Each wave specifies its own field dates. Most omnibus waves field across roughly two weeks.
Weighting
Per-module weighting to CPS targets including age, race and ethnicity, sex, income, education, region, and metropolitan status.
Partisanship benchmark
Pew Research Center's NPORS benchmarking surveys, three-year running average.
Vote benchmark
2024 presidential vote population benchmarks.
Margin of error
Typically about plus or minus 3.4 to 3.6 percent per module at standard module sizes. Question-level MoE is recomputed when a base shrinks materially below the module baseline.
Reporting
Every wave is published as a standalone report at verasight.io/reports with full instrument and methodology.
Transparency
Verasight is a member of the American Association for Public Opinion Research Transparency Initiative.

Wave-specific methodology, full weighting variable lists, and verbatim instrument text live in each report at verasight.io/reports.