Report · Sports

Many Americans are unsure who'll win the 2026 Super Bowl

Reading

In a Verasight survey of 2,000 U.S. adults conducted Dec. 22, 2025 to Jan. 5, 2026, many Americans are unsure who'll win the 2026 Super Bowl; 23% selected not sure.

The next-largest shares were 10% for philadelphia Eagles and 8% for san Francisco 49ers.

Topline

single choice

Topline distribution

Many Americans are unsure who'll win the 2026 Super Bowl (23%).

Which team do you think will win the 2026 Super Bowl?

  • Not sure 22.8%
  • Philadelphia Eagles 9.7%
  • San Francisco 49ers 8.3%
  • New England Patriots 8.3%
  • Los Angeles Rams 6.8%
  • Chicago Bears 6.4%
  • Buffalo Bills 6.3%
  • Denver Broncos 5.9%
  • Seattle Seahawks 5.2%
  • Green Bay Packers 5.0%
  • Pittsburgh Steelers 4.5%
  • Houston Texans 2.9%
  • Los Angeles Chargers 2.8%
  • Jacksonville Jaguars 2.2%
  • Another team (please specify) 1.7%
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1.3%

2025 · base n 2,000 · +/- 2.2%

pop_culture

View source

Methodology

Full methodology
Mode
Verasight panel recruited via random address-based sampling, random person-to-person text messaging, and dynamic online targeting
Field dates
2025-12-22 → 2026-01-05
Base (unweighted)
2,000
Margin of error
+/- 2.2%
Module
pop_culture

Source

Citation

2026 Predictions Survey #2025-183, fielded December 22, 2025-January 5, 2026, N=2,000 United States adults, +/- 2.2%.

https://reports.verasight.io/reports/2026-predictions-survey-2025-183#q-8

Verasight survey methodology

How Verasight conducts surveys.

This page describes the Verasight general survey contract, separate from how the Data Library packages it. Each wave's specific field dates, sample sizes, and module breakdown are listed in that wave's report.

Mode
Verasight panel recruited via random address-based sampling, random person-to-person text messaging, and dynamic online targeting.
Population
US adults age 18+.
Sample design
Surveys are run as omnibus or single-topic waves. Omnibus waves are split into modules with their own respondent set, typically around one thousand respondents per module.
Field window
Each wave specifies its own field dates. Most omnibus waves field across roughly two weeks.
Weighting
Per-module weighting to CPS targets including age, race and ethnicity, sex, income, education, region, and metropolitan status.
Partisanship benchmark
Pew Research Center's NPORS benchmarking surveys, three-year running average.
Vote benchmark
2024 presidential vote population benchmarks.
Margin of error
Typically about plus or minus 3.4 to 3.6 percent per module at standard module sizes. Question-level MoE is recomputed when a base shrinks materially below the module baseline.
Reporting
Every wave is published as a standalone report at verasight.io/reports with full instrument and methodology.
Transparency
Verasight is a member of the American Association for Public Opinion Research Transparency Initiative.

Wave-specific methodology, full weighting variable lists, and verbatim instrument text live in each report at verasight.io/reports.