Report · Sports

Many Americans are unsure who'll win the 2026 Super Bowl

Reading

Uncertainty outdraws every team ahead of the 2026 Super Bowl: about a quarter of Americans (23%) can't say which will win, according to a Verasight survey conducted Dec. 22, 2025 to Jan. 5, 2026.

The Philadelphia Eagles lead the named field at 10%, with the San Francisco 49ers and New England Patriots close behind at about 8% each. Every remaining team draws 7% or less.

Topline

single choice

Topline distribution

Many Americans are unsure who'll win the 2026 Super Bowl.

Which team do you think will win the 2026 Super Bowl?

  • Not sure 22.8%
  • Philadelphia Eagles 9.7%
  • San Francisco 49ers 8.3%
  • New England Patriots 8.3%
  • Los Angeles Rams 6.8%
  • Chicago Bears 6.4%
  • Buffalo Bills 6.3%
  • Denver Broncos 5.9%
  • Seattle Seahawks 5.2%
  • Green Bay Packers 5.0%
  • Pittsburgh Steelers 4.5%
  • Houston Texans 2.9%
  • Los Angeles Chargers 2.8%
  • Jacksonville Jaguars 2.2%
  • Another team (please specify) 1.7%
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1.3%

2025 · base n 2,000 · +/- 2.2%

2026 Predictions Survey #2025-183

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Methodology

Full methodology
Mode
Verasight panel recruited via random address-based sampling, random person-to-person text messaging, and dynamic online targeting
Field dates
2025-12-22 → 2026-01-05
Base (unweighted)
2,000
Margin of error
+/- 2.2%
Module
pop_culture

Source

Citation

2026 Predictions Survey #2025-183, fielded December 22, 2025-January 5, 2026, N=2,000 United States adults, +/- 2.2%.

https://reports.verasight.io/r/2026-predictions#super-bowl-winner

Verasight survey methodology

How Verasight conducts surveys.

This page describes the Verasight general survey contract, separate from how the Data Library packages it. When a wave report is published, its field dates, sample sizes, and module breakdown are listed in that report.

Mode
Verasight panel recruited via random address-based sampling, random person-to-person text messaging, and dynamic online targeting.
Population
US adults age 18+.
Sample design
Surveys are run as omnibus or single-topic waves. Omnibus waves are split into modules with their own respondent set, typically around one thousand respondents per module.
Field window
Each wave specifies its own field dates. Most omnibus waves field across roughly two weeks.
Weighting
Per-module weighting to CPS targets including age, race and ethnicity, sex, income, education, region, and metropolitan status.
Partisanship benchmark
Pew Research Center's NPORS benchmarking surveys, three-year running average.
Vote benchmark
2024 presidential vote population benchmarks.
Margin of error
Typically about plus or minus 3.4 to 3.6 percent per module at standard module sizes. Question-level MoE is recomputed when a base shrinks materially below the module baseline.
Reporting
The canonical report hub is reports.verasight.io. Verified legacy reports remain on their original hosts, and unpublished reports are marked pending.
Transparency
Verasight is a member of the American Association for Public Opinion Research Transparency Initiative.

The canonical report hub is reports.verasight.io; older reports may remain on verified legacy hosts.