Report · Sports

Most Americans have no idea who'll win the World Cup

Reading

In a Verasight survey of 2,000 U.S. adults conducted Dec. 22, 2025 to Jan. 5, 2026, most Americans have no idea who'll win the World Cup; 32% selected don’t know.

The next-largest shares were 16% for USA and 8% for brazil.

Topline

single choice

Topline distribution

Most Americans have no idea who'll win the World Cup (32%).

Who will win the World Cup?

  • Don’t know 32.3%
  • USA 16.4%
  • Brazil 7.7%
  • Spain 7.3%
  • Argentina 6.1%
  • Germany 4.5%
  • England 3.9%
  • France 3.6%
  • Mexico 3.6%
  • Portugal 2.7%
  • Canada 1.0%
  • South Africa 0.9%
  • Colombia 0.8%
  • Netherlands 0.7%
  • Scotland 0.6%
  • Uruguay 0.6%
  • Morocco 0.6%
  • Australia 0.6%
  • New Zealand 0.6%
  • Another country 0.5%
  • Ghana 0.5%
  • Qatar 0.5%
  • Switzerland 0.5%
  • Croatia 0.4%
  • Haiti 0.3%
  • South Korea 0.3%
  • Saudi Arabia 0.3%
  • Panama 0.3%
  • Paraguay 0.3%
  • Algeria 0.2%
  • Belgium 0.2%
  • Japan 0.2%
  • Egypt 0.2%
  • Ecuador 0.1%
  • Austria 0.1%
  • Tunisia 0.1%
  • Iran 0.1%
  • Norway 0.1%
  • Côte d'Ivoire 0.1%
  • Cabo Verde 0.0%
  • Uzbekistan 0.0%
  • Jordan 0.0%

2025 · base n 2,000 · +/- 2.2%

pop_culture

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Methodology

Full methodology
Mode
Verasight panel recruited via random address-based sampling, random person-to-person text messaging, and dynamic online targeting
Field dates
2025-12-22 → 2026-01-05
Base (unweighted)
2,000
Margin of error
+/- 2.2%
Module
pop_culture

Source

Citation

2026 Predictions Survey #2025-183, fielded December 22, 2025-January 5, 2026, N=2,000 United States adults, +/- 2.2%.

https://reports.verasight.io/reports/2026-predictions-survey-2025-183#q-5

Verasight survey methodology

How Verasight conducts surveys.

This page describes the Verasight general survey contract, separate from how the Data Library packages it. Each wave's specific field dates, sample sizes, and module breakdown are listed in that wave's report.

Mode
Verasight panel recruited via random address-based sampling, random person-to-person text messaging, and dynamic online targeting.
Population
US adults age 18+.
Sample design
Surveys are run as omnibus or single-topic waves. Omnibus waves are split into modules with their own respondent set, typically around one thousand respondents per module.
Field window
Each wave specifies its own field dates. Most omnibus waves field across roughly two weeks.
Weighting
Per-module weighting to CPS targets including age, race and ethnicity, sex, income, education, region, and metropolitan status.
Partisanship benchmark
Pew Research Center's NPORS benchmarking surveys, three-year running average.
Vote benchmark
2024 presidential vote population benchmarks.
Margin of error
Typically about plus or minus 3.4 to 3.6 percent per module at standard module sizes. Question-level MoE is recomputed when a base shrinks materially below the module baseline.
Reporting
Every wave is published as a standalone report at verasight.io/reports with full instrument and methodology.
Transparency
Verasight is a member of the American Association for Public Opinion Research Transparency Initiative.

Wave-specific methodology, full weighting variable lists, and verbatim instrument text live in each report at verasight.io/reports.