# Many Americans have no idea who'll win the World Cup

Canonical page: https://data.verasight.io/sports/most-americans-have-no-idea-wholl-win-the-world-cup/

> Indexed question in Sports.

## Reading

Presented with dozens of national teams, nearly a third of Americans (32%) say they don't know who will win the World Cup, outnumbering the backers of any single country, according to a January 2026 Verasight survey.

Among named teams, the USA draws the most support at 16%, well ahead of Brazil (8%), Spain (7%), and Argentina (6%). Support for the rest scatters thinly across dozens of other national teams.

## Topline

Who will win the World Cup?

Many Americans have no idea who'll win the World Cup.

- Don’t know: 32.3%
- USA: 16.4%
- Brazil: 7.7%
- Spain: 7.3%
- Argentina: 6.1%
- Germany: 4.5%
- England: 3.9%
- France: 3.6%
- Mexico: 3.6%
- Portugal: 2.7%
- Canada: 1.0%
- South Africa: 0.9%
- Colombia: 0.8%
- Netherlands: 0.7%
- Scotland: 0.6%
- Uruguay: 0.6%
- Morocco: 0.6%
- Australia: 0.6%
- New Zealand: 0.6%
- Another country: 0.5%
- Ghana: 0.5%
- Qatar: 0.5%
- Switzerland: 0.5%
- Croatia: 0.4%
- Haiti: 0.3%
- South Korea: 0.3%
- Saudi Arabia: 0.3%
- Panama: 0.3%
- Paraguay: 0.3%
- Algeria: 0.2%
- Belgium: 0.2%
- Japan: 0.2%
- Egypt: 0.2%
- Ecuador: 0.1%
- Austria: 0.1%
- Tunisia: 0.1%
- Iran: 0.1%
- Norway: 0.1%
- Côte d'Ivoire: 0.1%
- Cabo Verde: 0.0%
- Uzbekistan: 0.0%
- Jordan: 0.0%

## Methodology

- Mode: Verasight panel recruited via random address-based sampling, random person-to-person text messaging, and dynamic online targeting
- Population: United States adults
- Field dates: 2025-12-22 → 2026-01-05
- Base (unweighted): 2,000
- Margin of error: +/- 2.2%
- Module: pop_culture
- Sponsor: Verasight
- Weight variable: weight for AI and predictions questions; weight_popculture for pop culture questions
- Weighting targets: age, race/ethnicity, sex, income, education, region, metropolitan status

## Source

- Canonical question URL: [https://reports.verasight.io/r/2026-predictions#world-cup-winner](https://reports.verasight.io/r/2026-predictions#world-cup-winner)

## Citation

2026 Predictions Survey #2025-183, fielded December 22, 2025-January 5, 2026, N=2,000 United States adults, +/- 2.2%.

Canonical question URL: [https://reports.verasight.io/r/2026-predictions#world-cup-winner](https://reports.verasight.io/r/2026-predictions#world-cup-winner)