A plurality expect Republicans to keep both chambers in the midterms
Core finding
More Americans think Republicans will hold both the Senate and the House after the 2026 midterms than predict any other result (36%), according to a Verasight survey of 3,000 U.S. adults conducted Sept. 22-29, 2025.
Roughly a quarter (26%) think Democrats will take both chambers instead. An additional 23% expect a Republican Senate alongside a Democratic House, and 14% foresee the reverse, a Democratic Senate with a Republican House.
Topline distribution
A plurality expect Republicans to keep both chambers in the midterms.
Which of the following outcomes do you think is most likely after the midterm elections next year?
n = 1,000 · Sep 22–29, 2025 · MoE ±3.3%
Methodology
Full methodology →| Mode | Verasight panel recruited via random address-based sampling, random person-to-person text messaging, and dynamic online targeting |
|---|---|
| Population | US adults age 18+ |
| Field dates | Sep 22–29, 2025 |
| Base (unweighted) | 1,000 |
| Margin of error | ±3.3% |
| Module | Verasight APSA Omnibus Survey #2025-119 |
| Sponsor | Verasight |
| Weight variable | weight |
| Weighting targets | age, race/ethnicity, sex, income, education, region, metropolitan status |
Sources
- reports.verasight.io/r/apsa-2025
Which of the following outcomes do you think is most likely after the midterm elections next year?
Cite this question
Verasight APSA Omnibus Survey #2025-119, fielded September 22-29, 2025, N=1,000 US adults age 18+, +/- 3.3%.