More than half would rather avoid uncertain outcomes
Core finding
Most Americans favor certainty over the unknown: 55% disagree that they prefer situations with uncertain outcomes over certain ones, including 15% who strongly disagree.
Only 16% agree they favor uncertainty, and 28% neither agree nor disagree, according to a Verasight survey of 510 U.S. adults conducted June 25-30, 2025.
Topline scale
More than half would rather avoid uncertain outcomes.
Please indicate how much you agree or disagree with the following statement: I prefer situations in which outcomes are uncertain rather than certain.
n = 510 · Jun 25–30, 2025 · MoE ±5.3%
Methodology
Full methodology →| Mode | Verasight panel recruited via random address-based sampling, random person-to-person text messaging, and dynamic online targeting |
|---|---|
| Population | US adults age 18+ |
| Field dates | Jun 25–30, 2025 |
| Base (unweighted) | 510 |
| Margin of error | ±5.3% |
| Module | ICA Conference Omnibus Survey #2025-058 |
| Sponsor | Verasight |
| Weight variable | weight |
| Weighting targets | age, race/ethnicity, sex, income, education, region, metropolitan status |
Sources
- verasight-ica-2025.tiiny.co
Please indicate how much you agree or disagree with the following statement: I prefer situations in which outcomes are uncertain rather than certain.
Cite this question
ICA Conference Omnibus Survey #2025-058, fielded June 25-30, 2025, N=510 US adults age 18+, +/- 5.3%.