A third think a foreign country could succeed in swaying a U.S. election
Core finding
Asked to imagine a foreign country trying to sway a U.S. presidential election, about a third of Americans (35%) think it would likely succeed in tipping the result, including 8% who see success as very likely, according to an October 2024 Verasight survey.
The largest share (37%) considers the outcome neither likely nor unlikely, while 28% think success unlikely, including 8% who call it very unlikely.
Topline scale
A third think a foreign country could succeed in swaying a U.S. election.
Imagine that a foreign country is trying to influence the result of the upcoming US presidential election. How likely do you think it is that they would succeed in tipping the election?
n = 1,000 · Oct 1–11, 2024 · MoE ±3.4%
Methodology
Full methodology →| Mode | Verasight panel recruited via random address-based sampling, random person-to-person text messaging, and dynamic online targeting |
|---|---|
| Population | US adults age 18+ |
| Field dates | Oct 1–11, 2024 |
| Base (unweighted) | 1,000 |
| Margin of error | ±3.4% |
| Module | pol |
| Sponsor | Verasight |
| Weight variable | weight |
| Weighting targets | age, race/ethnicity, sex, income, education, region, metropolitan status |
Sources
- verasight-apsa-2024.tiiny.co
How likely do you think it is that they would succeed in tipping the election?
Cite this question
Verasight APSA Omnibus Survey #2024-103, fielded October 1-11, 2024, N=1,000 US adults age 18+, +/- 3.4%.