Many Americans have no idea who'll win the World Cup

Dec 22, 2025 – Jan 5, 2026 · n = 2,000 · MoE ±2.2%Source report ↗

Core finding

Presented with dozens of national teams, nearly a third of Americans (32%) say they don't know who will win the World Cup, outnumbering the backers of any single country, according to a January 2026 Verasight survey.

Among named teams, the USA draws the most support at 16%, well ahead of Brazil (8%), Spain (7%), and Argentina (6%). Support for the rest scatters thinly across dozens of other national teams.

Topline distribution

Many Americans have no idea who'll win the World Cup.

Who will win the World Cup?

Don’t know
32.3%
USA
16.4%
Brazil
7.7%
Spain
7.3%
Argentina
6.1%
Germany
4.5%
England
3.9%
France
3.6%
Mexico
3.6%
Portugal
2.7%
Canada
1.0%
South Africa
0.9%
Colombia
0.8%
Netherlands
0.7%
Scotland
0.6%
Uruguay
0.6%
Morocco
0.6%
Australia
0.6%
New Zealand
0.6%
Another country
0.5%
Ghana
0.5%
Qatar
0.5%
Switzerland
0.5%
Croatia
0.4%
Haiti
0.3%
South Korea
0.3%
Saudi Arabia
0.3%
Panama
0.3%
Paraguay
0.3%
Algeria
0.2%
Belgium
0.2%
Japan
0.2%
Egypt
0.2%
Ecuador
0.1%
Austria
0.1%
Tunisia
0.1%
Iran
0.1%
Norway
0.1%
Côte d'Ivoire
0.1%
Cabo Verde
0.0%
Uzbekistan
0.0%
Jordan
0.0%

n = 2,000 · Dec 22, 2025 – Jan 5, 2026 · MoE ±2.2%

ModeVerasight panel recruited via random address-based sampling, random person-to-person text messaging, and dynamic online targeting
PopulationUnited States adults
Field datesDec 22, 2025 – Jan 5, 2026
Base (unweighted)2,000
Margin of error±2.2%
Modulepop_culture
SponsorVerasight
Weight variableweight for AI and predictions questions; weight_popculture for pop culture questions
Weighting targetsage, race/ethnicity, sex, income, education, region, metropolitan status

Sources

  1. 01

    Who will win the World Cup?

    reports.verasight.io/r/2026-predictions

Cite this question

2026 Predictions Survey #2025-183, fielded December 22, 2025-January 5, 2026, N=2,000 United States adults, +/- 2.2%.