On Groundhog Day, Americans trust Punxsutawney Phil over their local groundhogs

May 16–17, 2023 · n = 1,000 · MoE ±3.3%Source report ↗

Core finding

When it comes to which groundhog to rely on for spring's arrival in their own town, more Americans trust the celebrated Punxsutawney Phil (37%) than their nearby local groundhog (32%).

It is a close call, though: a nearly equal 31% say they cannot tell which one to trust, leaving Phil well short of a majority, according to a Verasight survey conducted May 16-17, 2023.

Topline distribution

On Groundhog Day, Americans trust Punxsutawney Phil over their local groundhogs.

If you believed in the Groundhog Day story and you wanted to know when Spring would be coming to your hometown, which Groundhog ought you to rely upon?

Punxatawney Phil
36.8%
Local Groundhog
32.1%
Not sure which one, can't say
31.1%

n = 1,000 · May 16–17, 2023 · MoE ±3.3%

ModeVerasight panel recruited via random address-based sampling, random person-to-person text messaging, and dynamic online targeting
PopulationUnited States adults
Field datesMay 16–17, 2023
Base (unweighted)1,000
Margin of error±3.3%
ModuleAAPOR 2023 Omnibus Survey #2023-036
SponsorVerasight
Weight variableweight
Weighting targetsage, race/ethnicity, sex, income, education, region, metropolitan status

Sources

  1. 01

    If you believed in the Groundhog Day story and you wanted to know when Spring would be coming to your hometown, which Groundhog ought you to rely upon?

    verasight-aapor-2023.tiiny.co

Cite this question

AAPOR 2023 Omnibus Survey #2023-036, fielded May 16-17, 2023, N=1,000 United States adults, +/- 3.3%.